{"id":5607,"date":"2021-08-19T13:11:28","date_gmt":"2021-08-19T13:11:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/?p=5607"},"modified":"2024-10-14T11:20:01","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T11:20:01","slug":"whos-afraid-of-a-wolverine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/whos-afraid-of-a-wolverine\/","title":{"rendered":"Who\u2019s afraid of a Wolverine?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">You should be!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As we know, The Wolverine is the school mascot of the University of Michigan, the publisher of the widely referenced monthly Consumer Sentiment Index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This index in early August reached the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2021-08-13\/consumer-sentiment-in-u-s-plunges-to-lowest-since-2011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">lowest level since 2011!!<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Picture-1afe.png\" alt=\"Mortgage For US Expats| Home Loan in America\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Consumer Sentiment Index<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em>Why is this happening?<\/em><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This \u201cStunning Deterioration\u201d, as Bloomberg puts it, is a strong reflection of how inflation and the Delta Variant are worrying consumers. As seen from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/does-hedonism-affect-cpi\/\">last week\u2019s article<\/a>, fast-rising rents are taking up an extremely large portion of peoples\u2019 disposable incomes and it is a very real issue. The prices of goods and services (measured by CPI) are also at record high, and we all know it is only going to go higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/Picture-1agr.png\" alt=\"U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Rate | US Home Loan\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Rate<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rising prices are bad news for low-income individuals and fixed-incomers because it erodes their purchasing power. Hence, it is not surprising that their sentiments lean on the negative side. The rising number of Delta variant cases and several states (California, New York) reinstating mask mandates have dashed peoples\u2019 hopes that the pandemic will end soon and has triggered negative emotional reactions which further dragged down the Consumer Sentiment Index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why should we pay attention to the fall in this index?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This index is indicative of how people are viewing the future environment and, specifically their confidence. Lower consumer confidence has serious negative implication on the economy. Lower confidence could also create a negative feedback loop \u2013 businesses will look at a fall in consumer spending and delay investments. Consumers will look at delayed investments and have even more negative assessments about the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Given how consumer spending is almost 70% of aggregate demand in the U.S., a fall in it will undoubtedly erase all the economic recovery gains made in the past few months&nbsp;<em>(Just look at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2021-08-10\/australia-business-gloom-deepens-as-delta-updends-economy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Australia<\/a>&nbsp;as an example)<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All in all, lower confidence could mean reversing back into the economic recession, which we were in the majority of last year. Except, this time, it could be much worse. Given how high inflation is currently, if the U.S. economy plunges, we could be entering an era of stagflation (high inflation, high unemployment). The 2020s could very likely be the new 1980s\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In conclusion, despite the \u2018summer of joy\u2019 we\u2019ve enjoyed so far, this index signals a potential \u2018winter of discontent\u2019 ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"www.americamortgages.com\">www.americamortgages.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You should be! As we know, The Wolverine is the school mascot of the University of Michigan, the publisher of the widely referenced monthly Consumer Sentiment Index. This index in early August reached the&nbsp;lowest level since 2011!! Consumer Sentiment Index Why is this happening? This \u201cStunning Deterioration\u201d, as Bloomberg puts it, is a strong reflection [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":5605,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"templates\/template-single-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"qubely_global_settings":"","qubely_interactions":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[333,287,334,332,331],"am_country":[],"am_audience":[],"am_format":[],"class_list":["post-5607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-think-pieces","tag-fast-rising-rents","tag-inflation","tag-measured-by-cpi","tag-monthly-consumer-sentiment-index","tag-whos-afraid-of-a-wolverine"],"acf":[],"qubely_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",1860,1080,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",1200,697,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",540,314,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-300x174.jpg",300,174,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-768x446.jpg",580,337,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-1024x595.jpg",580,337,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-1536x892.jpg",1536,892,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",1860,1080,false],"qubely_landscape":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",1200,697,false],"qubely_portrait":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",540,314,false],"qubely_thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",140,81,false],"post-thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17-1200x697.jpg",1200,697,true],"twentytwenty-fullscreen":["https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/MicrosoftTeams-image-17.jpg",1860,1080,false]},"qubely_author":{"display_name":"Yulu Zhang","author_link":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/author\/yulu-zhang\/"},"qubely_comment":0,"qubely_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/think-pieces\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Think Pieces<\/a>","qubely_excerpt":"You should be! As we know, The Wolverine is the school mascot of the University of Michigan, the publisher of the widely referenced monthly Consumer Sentiment Index. This index in early August reached the&nbsp;lowest level since 2011!! Consumer Sentiment Index Why is this happening? This \u201cStunning Deterioration\u201d, as Bloomberg puts it, is a strong reflection&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5607"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5607\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17690,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5607\/revisions\/17690"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5605"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5607"},{"taxonomy":"am_country","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/am_country?post=5607"},{"taxonomy":"am_audience","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/am_audience?post=5607"},{"taxonomy":"am_format","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.americamortgages.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/am_format?post=5607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}